Denver Nuggets are favored (-365 moneyline) with a 78.4% chance of winning against the Miami Heat.

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Nuggets have a strong SU record (7-0) and ATS record (5-2) in their last seven games.

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They have a perfect SU streak (11-0) at home and a 7-1 SU record against Miami at home.

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Total points in recent Nuggets games have tended to go under, except when playing against Miami.

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Miami Heat are underdogs (+300 moneyline) with a 25% chance of winning.

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Miami has a decent ATS record (12-5) in their last 17 games but has lost four out of their last five contests.

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Miami has struggled against Denver, losing seven straight matches both SU and ATS.

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Miami has a poor 1-7 SU record on the road against Denver.

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Total points in recent Miami games have consistently gone under, but tend to go over against Western Conference opponents.

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Miami Heat have a tough challenge ahead, facing a dominant Denver team with a strong home record.

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